Jump to content

Something about shinny.So tired~


Recommended Posts

I have breed 202 boxes of ditto and do not have shiny ... 

Start from 15/2/2018 until now ...

and now current Game times :1414 hours ~ has used 3*30(days)  donator  ticket(almost 43days left now) 

 

But A lot of players who only played for more than ten hours got the shinny.

Has anyone ever encountered such a situation?

So tired ~

Link to comment
16 minutes ago, NewCPlayer said:

I have breed 202 boxes of ditto and do not have shiny ... 

Start from 15/2/2018 until now ...

and now current Game times :1414 hours ~ has used 3*30(days)  donator  ticket(almost 43days left now) 

 

But A lot of players who only played for more than ten hours got the shinny.

Has anyone ever encountered such a situation?

So tired ~

Its basic statistics, someone people can get lucky and get a shiny on their first ditto breed or box of dittos (and have as well). Where as it is also possible to breed a quadrillion times and get no shiny (albeit unlikely). Every time you do a breed you are rolling Kyu's  30,000 sided dice. Given the amount of breeds you've done, I've calculated previously that you'd need 69,076 breeds to have a 90% chance of finding a shiny and 20,794 breeds to have a 50% chance. May as well keep going. Good luck with the shiny breeding.

Edited by Linfanz
my math sucks
Link to comment
3 hours ago, NewCPlayer said:

I have breed 202 boxes of ditto and do not have shiny ... 

Start from 15/2/2018 until now ...

and now current Game times :1414 hours ~ has used 3*30(days)  donator  ticket(almost 43days left now) 

 

But A lot of players who only played for more than ten hours got the shinny.

Has anyone ever encountered such a situation?

So tired ~

With 202 boxes = 202 * 60 = 12120 hatches, you have got 36% of hatching a shiny, with donator (33% without). Don't think u should complain already.

 

There are many 'unlucky' people who don't raise their voice, while the 'lucky' ones are noticeable, thats why you feel yourself 'unlucky'. It's something can be referred as "selection bias".

 

There are other things to do in the game. If you focus on only one area everyday, it is easy to burn yourself out, so I would advise against that.

 

Good luck in future hatches. 

Link to comment
1 hour ago, JLxKaos said:

what a chump only 202 boxes. Do u even breed bro

 

Spoiler

For real tho hang in there it'll happen eventually. Might be a year or longer, but complaining and comparing yourself to noobs who get a shiny egg in 1 week isn't gonna do anything but discourage you. It's a self fulfilling prophecy. If you think you're not gonna get it and give up, you wont get anything. On the flip side, If you keep faith and going and going until shiny you will be rewarded (eventually). My suggestion is don't think much about it.

 

Link to comment

Create an account or sign in to comment

You need to be a member in order to leave a comment

Create an account

Sign up for a new account in our community. It's easy!

Register a new account

Sign in

Already have an account? Sign in here.

Sign In Now
×
×
  • Create New...

Important Information

By using this site, you agree to our Terms of Use and Privacy Policy.