Oldenman Posted June 29, 2021 Share Posted June 29, 2021 (edited) So, I got a chansey in the first ball I throw. This chansey is a 2x31 and it also holds a lucky egg. what are the chances of this? Edited June 30, 2021 by Oldenman Pecaeme and MrMalz 2 Link to comment
Pecaeme Posted June 29, 2021 Share Posted June 29, 2021 congrats on selling that alakazam for 10k Akshit, axx, awkways and 5 others 8 Link to comment
Oldenman Posted June 30, 2021 Author Share Posted June 30, 2021 truly the pog moment 12 minutes ago, Pecaeme said: congrats on selling that alakazam for 10k Pecaeme 1 Link to comment
Oldenman Posted June 30, 2021 Author Share Posted June 30, 2021 Btw, on a side note, Terresa offered to buy and I declined, so it's not for sale :3 Link to comment
MrMalz Posted June 30, 2021 Share Posted June 30, 2021 Your luck is broken please make a ticket and get it fixed, thank you. Nah good catch also I dmed ya ,thx. Link to comment
TechnoVortex Posted June 30, 2021 Share Posted June 30, 2021 2 hours ago, Oldenman said: So, I got a chansey in the first ball I throw. This chansey is a 2x31 and it also holds a lucky egg. what are the chances of this? 1/hax Link to comment
Gilan Posted June 30, 2021 Share Posted June 30, 2021 I dunno what the catch rate is, but I’ll assume 10%, and I think lucky egg is a 5% hold chance? so, .1 x (6 combin 2) x (1/32 ^ 2) x (31/32 ^ 4) x .05 = the chance to find a 2x31 chansey with a lucky egg and catch on first ball. btw, 6 combin 2 = 15 .1 x (1 - (31/32 ^ 6) - 6 x (1/32) x (31/32 ^ 5)) x .05 = the chance to find a 2x31 or better chansey with a lucky egg and catch on first ball. You can also multiply in the 5% encounter chance if you like… On my phone so not going to bother calcing it out. Link to comment
Oldenman Posted June 30, 2021 Author Share Posted June 30, 2021 (edited) So roughly 1/20k If excluding the 5% encounter. Thank you Gilian ❤️ I'll send it in the morning. So glad I didn't sell @Terresa ? Edited June 30, 2021 by Oldenman Link to comment
TohnR Posted June 30, 2021 Share Posted June 30, 2021 (edited) Not like it changes anything about its value, it's just a Chansey 2IV worth about 40k at the end of the day 1/78 the chance to catch a 2x31 pokemon according to 8.8% official catch rate for Chansey (probably lower in MMO, say 7% cause balls are broken) 5% chance to hold lucky egg That's a total of about 0.000045 which in odds gives you 1/22k Edited June 30, 2021 by TohnR Don't need any money btw, ggs tho xD Link to comment
FighterChamp Posted June 30, 2021 Share Posted June 30, 2021 That chansey will outspeed Garchomp, GGs Link to comment
DarylDixon Posted June 30, 2021 Share Posted June 30, 2021 16 hours ago, Oldenman said: So, I got a chansey in the first ball I throw. This chansey is a 2x31 and it also holds a lucky egg. what are the chances of this? @Revz reported for false accusation ez Link to comment
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