CC OU #5 round 4 Walplayer vs. Zozoth
subswagger jolt FTW
turn 20 walplayer is slightly behind with his jolteon being severly damaged. winning the confusion flip vs snorlax he is allowed to sub up the turn after and finish snorlax off. just to throw some salt into the wound winning the confusion flip vs houndoom afterwards to pretty much win the game.
conclusion:
solely by riding the wave of variance walplayer was allowed to win this game. walplayer wins the first coinflip: he gains momentum and is allowed to sub up -> go for more coinflips, with which he is either in a fantastic spot jolteon being subbed up and snorlax probably dead ooorr in a decent spot with snorlax being dead and jolteon alive without sub. looks like a snowballing win/win scenario after winning just one coinflip with which seems to me to have very little drawback, jolteon being almost dead.
aaaand walplayer wins another flip vs. opposing houndoom which brings him so far ahead that the game is pretty much decided in his favor.
I think when you find yourself in a spot where youre behind in the game, you should gamble but in a more skillful manner than hoping to win a coinflip. go for risky maneuvers like double switches and predicting certain moves and grind your way back into the game. dont take the easy route out by flipping a coin saying "oh i would have won that game if i won that flip."