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Posts
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Posts posted by gbwead
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Just now, BurntZebra said:
maybe I should have just let you get banished from TC forever then
Also side note:
I swear I knew probability when we learned it in like 10th grade of high school, anyways a 3.7% error is fine for day to day living in my books.
I know man. It's called tough love, I truly appreciate what you did. Was just joking ^^
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gonna write a letter to tyrone to get zebra kicked out of TC
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Just now, BurntZebra said:
I assumed given that there were 5 hits and each hit has a 1/16 chance, it would roughly come out to be 5/16 since each turn
Dude, really?
- Zymogen, notmudkip0 and DoubleJ
- 3
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Just now, kevola said:
I don't think he ever denied it. I think his problem was on the competitive aspect of the decision
If he doesn't deny it, Zebra was right to assume what Kimi's odds of winning were and therefore Riga's argument about not being able to determine anything with certainty gets disassembled.
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Btw, did Kimi agree that without a crit he could not win?
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7 minutes ago, BlackJovi said:
@Rigamorty for host next season.
Oh fuck no.
#1, he's a trashboi, that's not elite enough for hosting psl or managing a team.
#2, psl season 6 is rolling over in it's grave.
#3, he wouldn't choose me as a manager unless I cuddle with him, so he's biased af.
- JIceJDragon and DoubleJ
- 2
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23 hours ago, Mnemosyne said:
People that want Chimecho banned are just bad NU players
Or maybe they realised that Chimecho is actually ridiculously close to fitting defensive/support uber characteristics. With a good ability, great defensive and offensive stats, access to recover, CM and Heal Bell, Chimecho is nearly impossible to punish without a lot of scouting and a good matchup. It ain't vulnerable to spikes, so you can't really pressure it with constant switches. Nearly nothing that ain't banded can 2hko it. Its best counter Murkrow is quite awful. It's not as bad as being forced to play Hitmontop in OU if Ttar was OU, but we aren't that far from that.
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1 minute ago, Toast said:
Wow, you uguu! I thought we all agreed to no longer spoil the outcome of showdown duels...
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2 minutes ago, BurntZebra said:
I understand my decision may have not been popular, but I still believe it was still fair to both individuals. At the time of the server shutdown, the odds were roughly 75% in favor of NikhilR and 25% in Kimikozen (roughly 4 chances to get a crit on clefable) (actually in the recreated replay, Kimikozen had 5 chances to get a crit, boosting his odds to 31.25%). The recreated replay kept these odds fairly decently, potentially skewed against kimi slightly since raikou may have had 1 extra chance to get a crit, but a crit from raikou would have only mattered if raikou got back to back crits on clefable, which is a low .39% chance
A match reset with new matchups is essentially in favor of Kimikozen who gains a 19.75% advantage for free based on a fluke (assuming they both have equal odds of winning with a new matchup anyways).
The whole incident is quite rare and probably won't come up again, but hopefully people understand my reasoning for this decision.
That's what bothering me the most. Why was a shit replication of the duel necessary when you can simply calc the odds of Nik winning and generate a random number reflecting that probability? The replication was stupid and made no sense, especially since both players could have easily cheated.
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What if Kimi changes his items to scope lens?
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Why not just generate a random number from 0.01 to 100 and if that number is below or equal to 6.25, kimi gets the win. Otherwise, nik gets the win.
- Zymogen, RysPicz, EricTheGreat and 9 others
- 12
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It takes time before opening a discussion thread, so feel free to give more feedback about Granbull here in the meantime. (Not making any promises about a thread being opened tho)
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42 minutes ago, OldKeith said:
I miss having orangemaniac as a teammmate, thrice.
Traded three times, but our teammate only twice ^^
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@BurntZebra, if you host next season, plz fix these issues:
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[PSL 8] Week Seven
in Competition Archive
Posted · Edited by gbwead
was just trying to show off gosh ...
edit: for real, totally forgot that it could be done the way riga did it. I guess Riga is growing a brain thanks to hanging out with me so much.